Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.