Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
Be'er Sheva
3 - 1
Lugano
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Lugano.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 1-2 Luzern
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Luzern | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lugano | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Basel | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lugano |
45.11% ( 0.05) | 23.62% ( -0.04) | 31.26% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
