Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Thursday, October 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Real Sociedad 2-0 Sheriff Tiraspol
Despite the best efforts of the Moldovan side, Real Sociedad were too strong in this contest last Thursday, and have home advantage this time around. Expect the Spaniards to make it six wins in a row with another routine victory here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Sheriff Tiraspol |
59.82% ( 0.01) | 24.45% ( 0.01) | 15.73% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.26% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
