Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-0 Gimnasia
Sunday, August 28 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 28 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Gimnasia | 13 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 12 | 4 | 20 |
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Sunday, August 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 28 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gimnasia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Independiente |
37.64% ( 0.09) | 27.3% ( -0.42) | 35.06% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( 1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
