Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.