Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 73.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.85%) and 3-0 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.