Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.43%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
