Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Independiente and Sarmiento.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
