Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Guangzhou City win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.