Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guangzhou Evergrande in this match.