Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.