Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.63%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.