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National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park
St Albans City
3 - 0
Chelmsford City
Jeffers (41' pen., 71', 90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Chelmsford City.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawChelmsford City
38.18% (-0.125 -0.13) 25.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 35.93% (0.19900000000001 0.2)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.265 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.32% (0.334 0.33)49.68% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (0.297 0.3)71.69% (-0.298 -0.3)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.082999999999998 0.08)25.46% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (0.115 0.12)60.29% (-0.116 -0.12)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (0.274 0.27)26.73% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99% (0.36 0.36)62% (-0.361 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 38.18%
    Chelmsford City 35.93%
    Draw 25.87%
St Albans CityDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.035 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 35.93%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Chelmsford City
1-1
St Albans City
Aransibia (77')
Wiltshire (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
St Albans City
0-3
Chelmsford City
Sheringham (15'), James (26'), Dunne (61')
rhs 2.0
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