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National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Chelmsford City
1 - 1
St Albans City
Aransibia (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wiltshire (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and St Albans City.
More game data and we say below the videos

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
39.98% (0.692 0.69) 26.46% (0.314 0.31) 33.56% (-1.004 -1)
Both teams to score 52.32% (-1.223 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-1.474 -1.47)52.43% (1.476 1.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-1.28 -1.28)74.11% (1.28 1.28)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (-0.30200000000001 -0.3)25.76% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (-0.414 -0.41)60.69% (0.415 0.41)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (-1.353 -1.35)29.52% (1.355 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-1.683 -1.68)65.54% (1.685 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 39.97%
    St Albans City 33.56%
    Draw 26.45%
Chelmsford CityDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 10.31% (0.5 0.5)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7% (0.284 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.101 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.434 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.194 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.095 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 33.56%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
St Albans City
0-3
Chelmsford City
Sheringham (15'), James (26'), Dunne (61')
rhs 2.0
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