Coverage of the National League South clash between Maidstone United and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Hampton
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Maidstone United | 40 | 42 | 87 |
| 2 | Dorking Wanderers | 40 | 48 | 81 |
| 3 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 25 | 76 |
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Bath City | 40 | -23 | 45 |
| 19 | Chelmsford City | 40 | -7 | 41 |
| 20 | Welling United | 40 | -41 | 38 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 65.92% | 20.09% | 13.99% |
| Both teams to score 48.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
