Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.