Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.