Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Newell's Old Boys and Independiente.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
