MX23RW : Thursday, May 18 02:31:32| >> :120:11021:11021:
Leverkusen logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
BayArena
Atletico Madrid logo
B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Atletico
Andrich (84'), Diaby (87')
Odilon (32'), Tah (39'), Andrich (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Leverkusen are more than capable of making this a difficult match for Atletico, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see a home victory or a draw. Atletico are in good form at the moment, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAtletico Madrid
24.44% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05) 22.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 52.6% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 57.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.6% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)42.4% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)64.8% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.059999999999988 -0.06)30.95% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.07 -0.07)67.24% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)16.14% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (0.011999999999993 0.01)45.59% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 24.44%
    Atletico Madrid 52.6%
    Draw 22.95%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 3.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 24.44%
1-1 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.95%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 9.11% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 5.05% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.7% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 52.6%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Atletico

Bayer Leverkusen
10.9%
Draw
13.8%
Atletico Madrid
75.4%
341
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2019 8pm
Oct 22, 2019 5.55pm
Mar 15, 2017 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2017 7.45pm
B. Leverkusen
2-4
Atletico
Bellarabi (48'), Savic (68' og.)
Henrichs (15'), Dragovic (58'), Wendell (64'), Aranguiz (74')
Niguez (17'), Griezmann (25'), Gameiro (58' pen.), Torres (86')
Torres (88'), Gabi (89'), Luis (90')
Mar 17, 2015 7.45pm
Atletico
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Atletico win 3-2 on penalties
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
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2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351812563313266
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341771066452158
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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