Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Sarmiento and Velez Sarsfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
