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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 16, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Independiente
0 - 1
Lanus

Asis (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Burdisso (68')
Burdisso (71'), Bernabei (80'), Esquivel (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Independiente and Lanus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawLanus
45.61%27.16%27.23%
Both teams to score 47.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.57%57.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.76%78.24%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88%25.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17%59.83%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26%36.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47%73.53%
Score Analysis
    Independiente 45.61%
    Lanus 27.23%
    Draw 27.15%
IndependienteDrawLanus
1-0 @ 12.75%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.81%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 4.06%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.61%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 9.23%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 9.24%
1-2 @ 6.39%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 27.23%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2020 10.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Independiente
1-3
Lanus
Roa (89')
Franco (5')
Belmonte (15'), Sand (17'), Orsini (44')
Acosta (45+2'), De la Vega (61')
Dec 10, 2020 10.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Lanus
0-0
Independiente

Barboza (45+3'), Benavidez (80')
Sep 15, 2019 9.45pm
gameweek 6
Independiente
2-2
Lanus
Romero (24', 47')
Barboza (48'), Figal (53'), Domingo (74'), Blanco (75')
Valenti (49'), Sand (54')
Di Placido (42'), Quignon (84')
Nov 27, 2018 12.15am
gameweek 13
Lanus
1-0
Independiente
Lodico (80')
Carrasco (38'), Thaller (91'), Belmonte (93')

Gaibor (56'), Hernandez (92')
Content continues below the video

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