Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
