The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 34.07% | 26.73% | 39.2% |
| Both teams to score 51.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
