Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
44.84% | 23% | 32.15% |
Both teams to score 63.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.81% | 37.19% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.6% | 59.39% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.95% | 17.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.79% | 47.21% |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.99% | 23.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.19% | 56.81% |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 9.02% 1-0 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.32% 3-2 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.22% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.92% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.35% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-1 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 3.25% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.13% Total : 32.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 20 | 31 | 51 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 46 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 45 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 41 |
5 | Orlando City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 36 |
6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 35 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 34 |
9 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 34 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 32 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 30 |
12 | Toronto | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
14 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 28 | 55 | -27 | 22 |