Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
