Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 81.5%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 6.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.42%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (2.07%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.