Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 76.2%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 8.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.57%) and 1-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
