Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 70.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 11.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.