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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.96%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for NEC had a probability of 5.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.87%) and 0-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a NEC win it was 1-0 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
5.53% | 11.51% | 82.96% |
Both teams to score 44.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.02% | 31.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.45% | 53.55% |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.91% | 53.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.29% | 86.7% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.34% | 5.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.1% | 21.89% |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 1.9% 2-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 1.9% Total : 5.53% | 1-1 @ 5.46% 0-0 @ 3% 2-2 @ 2.48% Other @ 0.56% Total : 11.51% | 0-2 @ 12.39% 0-3 @ 11.87% 0-1 @ 8.62% 0-4 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 7.52% 1-4 @ 5.4% 0-5 @ 4.9% 1-5 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-6 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.71% 1-6 @ 1.49% 2-5 @ 0.98% 0-7 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.9% Total : 82.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
2 | Ajax | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 66 | 23 | 43 | 52 |
3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 49 |
5 | FC Twente | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 41 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 40 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
9 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 31 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 29 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Vitesse | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 23 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 53 | -25 | 23 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 20 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 18 |
17 | Groningen | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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