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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Ajax |
12.45% | 19.1% | 68.45% |
Both teams to score 47.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.26% | 44.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% | 67.1% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.89% | 46.11% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.2% | 81.8% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.99% | 12.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.54% | 37.46% |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Ajax |
1-0 @ 4.29% 2-1 @ 3.52% 2-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 0.96% 3-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.45% | 1-1 @ 9.09% 0-0 @ 5.54% 2-2 @ 3.73% Other @ 0.76% Total : 19.1% | 0-2 @ 12.43% 0-1 @ 11.73% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-3 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 6.8% 0-4 @ 4.66% 1-4 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-5 @ 1.98% 1-5 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.25% Total : 68.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 79 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 84 | 36 | 48 | 71 |
3 | Ajax | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 82 | 34 | 48 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 64 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 |
8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 37 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 35 |
13 | Vitesse | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 33 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 29 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 28 |
R | Groningen | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 18 |
R | Cambuur | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 16 |
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