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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 80.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 7.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
80.44% | 12.53% | 7.02% |
Both teams to score 49.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.69% | 30.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.42% | 51.58% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.22% | 5.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.73% | 22.27% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.68% | 47.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.28% | 82.72% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Groningen |
2-0 @ 11.12% 3-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 8.32% 3-1 @ 7.91% 1-0 @ 7.8% 4-0 @ 7.53% 4-1 @ 5.64% 5-0 @ 4.29% 5-1 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-2 @ 2.11% 6-0 @ 2.04% 6-1 @ 1.53% 5-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.21% Total : 80.43% | 1-1 @ 5.84% 2-2 @ 3.11% 0-0 @ 2.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 12.53% | 1-2 @ 2.19% 0-1 @ 2.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 7.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 79 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 84 | 36 | 48 | 71 |
3 | Ajax | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 82 | 34 | 48 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 33 | 31 | 64 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 |
8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 37 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 35 |
13 | Vitesse | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 33 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 29 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 28 |
R | Groningen | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 18 |
R | Cambuur | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 16 |
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