Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 13.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
