Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
