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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
41.42% | 28.41% | 30.18% |
Both teams to score 45.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.42% | 60.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.32% | 80.68% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% | 28.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.35% | 64.65% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% | 36.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% | 72.9% |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 12.94% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.62% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.4% | 0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 5.39% 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.95% Total : 30.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
2 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 53 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 53 |
5 | FC Twente | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 47 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 34 |
9 | Heerenveen | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 24 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 23 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 21 |
17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 49 | -29 | 16 |
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