Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
