Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
