Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 14.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
63.85% | 21.19% | 14.96% |
Both teams to score 47.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.75% | 48.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.6% | 70.4% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.57% | 14.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.63% | 42.37% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.52% | 44.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.49% | 80.51% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 12.42% 2-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 6.29% 4-0 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.55% 5-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.4% Total : 63.83% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.2% 1-2 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 2.11% 1-3 @ 1.1% 2-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.41% Total : 14.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 62 |
2 | Inter Milan | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 47 |
3 | AC Milan | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 44 |
4 | Lazio | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 42 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 41 |
6 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Juventus | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 32 |
8 | Bologna | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 32 |
9 | Udinese | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
11 | Monza | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
12 | Empoli | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 28 |
13 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
14 | Fiorentina | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 24 |
16 | Salernitana | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 17 |
19 | Sampdoria | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 38 | -27 | 11 |
20 | Cremonese | 22 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 8 |
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