Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Empoli |
33.92% | 25.28% | 40.81% |
Both teams to score 56.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.69% | 47.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% | 69.53% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.2% | 26.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.91% | 62.09% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% | 23.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.15% | 56.85% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 8.13% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 5.35% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-0 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.12% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 4.29% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.2% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.15% Total : 40.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 15 | 36 | 56 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 41 |
4 | Roma | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 41 |
5 | AC Milan | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 41 |
6 | Lazio | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 39 |
7 | Torino | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 30 |
8 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 29 |
9 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 29 |
10 | Empoli | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 27 |
11 | Juventus | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 26 |
12 | Monza | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 26 |
13 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Fiorentina | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
15 | SassuoloSassuolo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 23 |
16 | Salernitana | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 14 |
19 | Sampdoria | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 36 | -26 | 10 |
20 | Cremonese | 21 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
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