The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Cagliari 0-2 Napoli
With one eye on the Europa League glamour tie taking place later in the week, Napoli have every right to be distracted, but three points are essential if they are to continue to challenge for the domestic title. Some fresh faces in the starting XI and burgeoning confidence levels after recent results will help them get the job done, though, as they bring Cagliari's unbeaten streak to an end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Napoli |
| 19.53% | 21.76% | 58.71% |
| Both teams to score 54.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
