Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 12.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
69.9% | 17.73% | 12.37% |
Both teams to score 51.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.37% | 38.62% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.07% | 60.93% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.07% | 9.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.14% | 32.86% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.69% | 42.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.29% | 78.7% |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
2-0 @ 11.2% 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 7.42% 4-0 @ 4.98% 4-1 @ 4.29% 3-2 @ 3.19% 5-0 @ 2.3% 5-1 @ 1.98% 4-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 4.71% Total : 69.89% | 1-1 @ 8.35% 0-0 @ 4.2% 2-2 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.73% | 0-1 @ 3.61% 1-2 @ 3.59% 0-2 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.19% 1-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.39% Total : 12.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
2 | Inter Milan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
3 | Juventus | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Fiorentina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
5 | Napoli | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Monza | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
8 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
9 | Lecce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Roma | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 11 |
11 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
13 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
14 | Torino | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Udinese | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Empoli | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 16 | -15 | 4 |
19 | Salernitana | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |