Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
26.25% | 23.46% | 50.29% |
Both teams to score 58.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.94% | 43.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.54% | 65.46% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.13% | 29.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% | 65.96% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.78% | 17.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.48% | 47.52% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 6.61% 1-0 @ 6.22% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.16% Total : 26.25% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 5.81% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-1 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 7.96% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-3 @ 4.67% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 2.48% 0-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.93% Total : 50.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | AC Milan | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 21 |
2 | Inter Milan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
3 | Juventus | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Fiorentina | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
5 | Napoli | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Monza | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
8 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
9 | Lecce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Roma | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 11 |
11 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
13 | Lazio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
14 | Torino | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 8 |
17 | Udinese | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Empoli | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 16 | -15 | 4 |
19 | Salernitana | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |