Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
48.79% | 22.49% | 28.71% |
Both teams to score 63.64% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.39% | 36.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.24% | 58.76% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% | 15.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.84% | 44.15% |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.2% | 24.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.62% | 59.37% |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
2-1 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 5.82% 3-0 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 4.06% 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 1.95% 4-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.01% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 6.5% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-1 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.71% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 31 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 67 | 21 | 46 | 78 |
2 | Lazio | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 61 |
3 | Juventus | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 59 |
4 | AC Milan | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 56 |
6 | Inter Milan | 31 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 54 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 52 |
8 | Bologna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 44 |
9 | Udinese | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
12 | Monza | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 41 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 |
14 | Salernitana | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
15 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 32 |
16 | Lecce | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 28 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 31 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 26 | 49 | -23 | 27 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
19 | Cremonese | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 19 |
20 | Sampdoria | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 17 |
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