We said: Roma 2-1 Torino
Roma could have stumbled into some form thanks to the good news story surrounding their win last week and a subsequent European success.
While Torino are a match for anyone this season at their headquarters, they do not travel so well, so will be caught out by their hosts' superior forward department.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.
