Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.41%. A win for Torino had a probability of 22.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 0-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Torino win was 2-1 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
