Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 46.35%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Torino |
46.35% ( 0.08) | 28.02% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 43.89% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.71% ( -0.03) | 61.28% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.79% ( -0.02) | 81.2% ( 0.03) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.48% ( 0.03) | 26.51% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.28% ( 0.04) | 61.71% ( -0.04) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.72% ( -0.09) | 40.27% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.1% ( -0.08) | 76.9% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 14.17% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 46.34% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 25.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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