Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
61.83% | 20.6% | 17.56% |
Both teams to score 55.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.11% | 40.89% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.72% | 63.28% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.29% | 12.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.07% | 38.93% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% | 36.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% | 73.5% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.63% 3-1 @ 6.84% 3-0 @ 6.83% 4-1 @ 3.53% 4-0 @ 3.52% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.46% 5-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.51% Total : 61.83% | 1-1 @ 9.65% 2-2 @ 4.98% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.6% | 1-2 @ 4.83% 0-1 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 55 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 53 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 51 |
4 | Freiburg | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 47 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 45 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 41 |
7 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 40 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 40 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 31 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 31 |
12 | Augsburg | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 29 |
13 | FC Koln | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 28 | 57 | -29 | 26 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Hertha Berlin | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 22 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 21 |
18 | Stuttgart | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 20 |
> Full Version |