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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 51.69%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.
Result | ||
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
51.69% | 22.97% | 25.33% |
Both teams to score 58.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% | 41.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% | 64.05% |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% | 16.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.32% | 45.68% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% | 29.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.08% | 65.92% |
Score Analysis |
Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 5.88% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 2.67% 4-0 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.44% Total : 51.69% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 4.83% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-1 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.53% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.14% Total : 25.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 68 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 42 | 36 | 67 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 59 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 57 |
5 | Freiburg | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 56 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 49 |
7 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 48 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 46 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 45 |
10 | FC Koln | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 39 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Augsburg | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 34 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 32 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 31 |
16 | Schalke 04Schalke | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 30 |
17 | Stuttgart | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 28 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 25 |
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