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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
39.87% | 25.9% | 34.22% |
Both teams to score 54.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50% | 49.99% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.02% | 71.97% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% | 24.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.75% | 59.25% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.09% | 27.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.47% | 63.53% |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Mainz 05 |
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.87% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 81 | 42 | 39 | 70 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 90 | 37 | 53 | 68 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 59 |
5 | Freiburg | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 59 |
6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 50 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 46 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 47 |
9 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 45 |
10 | FC Koln | 33 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 40 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 36 |
13 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 35 |
14 | Augsburg | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 34 |
15 | Stuttgart | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 32 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 32 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 31 |
18 | Hertha Berlin | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 68 | -28 | 26 |
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