The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | RB Leipzig |
| 20.73% | 20.26% | 59% |
| Both teams to score 62.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
