Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.